Thursday, 28 February 2013

Repo 105: Now You See It, Now You Don't



The debacle that Lehman Brothers found themselves in because of the subprime mortgage crisis led to a period of substantial losses that pushed the firm into the brink. A $2.8billion loss was announced on 9th June in the 2nd quarter report of 2008 which was the first reported loss during Fuld’s tenure as chairman.

The figures quoted on Lehman’s balance sheet were supposed assets of $700billion maintained with only a reported $25billion of equity. If these values were ever true, Lehman Bros had an extremely high leverage ratio of around 30-1, when commercial banks were restricted to a ratio of 15-1. In this position Lehman had to borrow billions of dollars each day to continue its operations. Whilst interest rates are low, a higher leverage ratio like that of Lehman’s can be profitable and manageable. When the decisions to undertake leverage were first made, the market reflected this and general conditions were favourable with a strong housing market and low interest rate, Zingales (2008). However, the financial markets changed, as we all know, and an unstable market with uncertain outcomes introduces instability in highly leveraged models. Risk managers within the company recognised that this leverage could become an insurmountable problem as the USA’s economy took a nosedive.

As a direct result of the 9th June announcement, a process began to try to reduce the leverage ratio used by the firm. Some assets on the balance sheet are written down and whilst some others were reduced through fire-sales to improve overall liquidity. The publication of the financial figures consequently led to a reduced revenue stream and losses on hedge funds. All-in-all it seemed that assets fell by $60billion so Lehman reported their leverage ratio was now somewhere in the region of 12.5-1. However, the balance sheet was hiding a few details that actually shed a little light on how much trouble the firm was actually in.

The report from Valukas (2010) indicated that Lehman’s accounting department had been implementing a practice codenamed “Repo 105” within the firm. There is a slight difference between this and the standard repo operation of corporate firms. When an ordinary repo is performed, assets are sold to raise quick, liquid cash but it also comes with a concurrent obligation to repurchase the same assets within a very short period of time since the original transfer of funds. Repo 105 is performed in the same way but the assets are repurchased at 105% of the value that was paid for them originally. However, the main difference between these is how they are classified when publishing the quarterly returns. The assets transferred in a normal repo procedure remain on the firm’s balance sheet and are explained as “financings”. Repo 105 assets can be included on the balance sheet in the same way but it is no compulsory to do so. Accounting regulations allow for these particular assets to be treated as sales and, consequently, removed from the balance sheet. This procedure is an accounting manipulation that reduces net leverage on paper but not in reality.

Accounting trickery had taken place over a period of years. But it was during the final 3 quarterly reports that Lehman produced before bankruptcy that this procedure became of prime importance. At this stage as much as $50billion in the form of assets were being temporarily removed from the balance sheet to make their leverage appear lower than it actually was. It is evident that the only purpose of Repo 105 was to buy Lehman time with misleading information to continue operating in the hope that the situation could be rescued. The managers were fully aware that the firm was in trouble. Leverage and liquidity were recognised as the key factors. Continually, Lehman announced that they had enough liquid cash reserves to allow them to weather the financial storm and cover their liabilities, which was a lie because the majority of their reserves were illiquid. They wanted to the rating agencies to maintain their confidence in the firm, which in return will continue to be classified with the top security rating. In turn, this would encourage more buyers as Lehman would still be an attractive option.

Lehman didn’t disclose the use of Repo 105 to any other financial institutions, let alone the public. In fact, it was unclear who inside Lehman even knew of the “numbers massaging”. Richard Fuld himself overtly claimed that he wasn’t aware of the codename Repo 105, not to mention what the term referred to. Evidence found during Valukas’ investigation suggests otherwise. The Wall Street Journal, issued on March 11th 2010, made clear that the executives at the top of Lehman had hidden the truth from their own board of directors, who would surely have objected to it.

In the aftermath it has become clear that the auditors of Lehman at the time, Ernst & Young, were fully aware of the implementation of Repo 105. They took no action upon discovering this. Ernst & Young were judged not to have met the professional standards expected of them. The Financial Times confirmed in December 2010 that Ernst & Young would face a lawsuit for their negligence and fraud. With 47 other complaints officially lodged against the accountancy firm at the time and several court cases already lost, this showed that they had previous form.

Accounting gimmicks, Repo 105 included, posed a serious risk to Lehman’s public image and overall professional reputation. Plain and simple, this was lazy banking. If anything, Repo 105 only exacerbated their problems in the long-term, plunging Lehman further into debt. When considering that the other option was to actually sell assets, reduce debt and meet leverage targets, Repo 105 was the easy way out on the short term loan market.

No comments:

Post a Comment